Projections of greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants from the transport sector are balanced until 2050. More information on emission projections from the transport sector in Slovakia.
Transport in Gg of CO₂ eq.
Transport in kt
Based on reliable data, it is possible to prepare reliable forecasts (projections) of emissions in order to accurately examine the impact of various policies, technological advancements and measures on future emission levels. More effective technologies to reduce emissions from road transport can now be designed and implemented based on the insights gained from this key approach: "Understand the past, know the present, predict the future".
Through significant decarbonisation, it will be possible to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in transport compared to 1990 up to 71% by 2050. This decarbonisation also has the potential to reduce air pollutant emissions up to 75% compared to 2019. The basic pillar of decarbonisation should be electrification of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles and the transition of freight transport to less polluting technologies. Hydrogen should also be an important alternative, however, according to studies, has only a limited possibility of extending to a maximum of 20% of vehicles throughout the European Union by 2050.
The following graphs show the relative representation of greenhouse gas emissions allocated in the EU ETS [pipeline transport] and in the ESR schemes for the transport sector.
Transport in EU ETS in Gg of CO₂ eq.
Transport in ESR in Gg of CO₂ eq.
The largest share of emissions from transport has road transport, primarily the use of diesel trucks, but also passenger vehicles. The transport sector includes emissions from road transport (passenger cars, light commercial vehicles, heavy-duty vehcles - trucks and buses, mopeds and motorcycles), as well as emissions from petrol evaporation, tyre, brakewear and road abrasion. In addition to road transport, emission projcetions also includes air, rail, ship and pipeline transport (for example natural gas). However, almost 94% of all emissions are caused by road transport.
Projections of emissions for the calculation of the obligatory reduction target within paragraph 5 (1) of the draft law on climate change were calculated for greenhouse gas emissions from road transport (1.A.3.b). Based on the results of emission projection modeling, a goal was proposed to comply with an increase in road transport emissions by a maximum of 29% in 2030 compared to 2005. The road transport sector can increase emissions by a maximum of 29% by 2030 compared to the reference year 2005. Goal was determined according to the WAM scenario and relates to the projections of greenhouse gas emissions.